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Behind the Numbers

Catalyst Corporate’s weekly economic commentary is produced by expert advisors, consultants and investment representatives from Catalyst Strategic Solutions. This publication provides a recap of economic events for the prior week, as well as insights regarding the impact economic developments may have on credit unions.


Behind the Numbers – December 7, 2018

No Reason to Run for CoverThe sky is falling! Or, in our case, stock prices and bond yields are falling. But the message is the same – this week’s dramatic action in the financial markets may be another Chicken Little situation. Stock investors continue to...


Behind the Numbers – November 30, 2018

He Said, They Said – How many ways can you analyze a speech? Too many, when it comes to the Fed. Analysts, economists and market pundits had a field day on Wednesday trying to interpret the real meaning behind...


Behind the Numbers – November 16, 2018

The Second Look – This week's inflation report was a welcome relief after last week's news about higher-than-expected wholesale prices. The consumer price index rose 0.3 percent in October, and core prices were up 0.2 percent, both spot on expectations. While the CPI numbers were...


Behind the Numbers – November 9, 2018

Inflation Bouncing Around – One month lower than expected, the next month higher than expected. The end result may be nothing to worry about. Producer prices jumped in October by 0.6 percent after a small 0.2 percent rise the previous month. The increase was the largest... 


Behind the Numbers – November 2, 2018

Good News at Last – One word for today's job report – WOW. The country added 250,000 jobs in October, average earnings rose 3.1 percent from a year ago (the biggest jump since April 2009), the labor force participation rate increased two-tenths to 62.9 percent and all sectors added workers...


Behind the Numbers – October 26, 2018

Modest to Moderate Sums it Up – There was a lot of discussion this week about the state of the U.S. economy. The stock market had one of its worst weeks in months, if not years, on fears of the economy falling apart in 2019. The unknown impact of the trade tariffs, higher interest rates and...


Behind the Numbers – October 19, 2018

More Autos, Less Eating Out – What a fickle group of consumers we are. After months of eating out and not buying cars, the American consumer did an about face in September. Retail sales rose a mere 0.1 percent, mostly due to a sharp 1.8 percent decline in spending at food-services and drinking...


Behind the Numbers – October 12, 2018

Head for Cover – What a week! Not only did the worst hurricane in 25 years hit the U.S., causing widespread devastation, but the financial markets also weathered their own storm of sorts. After reaching new high levels last month, the key stock indices plummeted five percent over two...


Behind the Numbers – September 28, 2018

No Surprises for Fed Watchers – As expected, the Federal Reserve increased the fed funds rate by 25 basis points for the third time this year. The new target range is 2.00 to 2.25 percent. The central bank signaled it expects to increase rates again this year, despite Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's...


Behind the Numbers – September 21, 2018

Housing on Weak Ground – On the surface, most of the housing data released this week gives the impression all is well with the industry. A closer look into the reports reveals continued weakness due to rising prices and the impending trade tariffs. Construction of new homes surged 9.2 percent in August...


Behind the Numbers – September 14, 2018

Inflation Takes a Break – Two key inflation reports were released this week, both showing a slowdown for the recent rise in inflation. First up was the Producer Price Index, PPI, which turned negative in August for the first time in 18 months. Most of the decline came from a drop in the cost of services, 80...


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